Polls have been at their peak for four years around the world. The Brexit victory in the United Kingdom and, a short time later, Donald Trump’s triumph over Hillary Clinton, were lethal for his credibility with Internet users. It is true that they are two completely different elections, but in both cases, the consensus of the pollsters predicted opposite results, which coincided with what most journalists and the media expected. That the opposite occurred left them violated.
The presidential elections this Tuesday in the United States are the perfect opportunity for public opinion consultants. A success could be a rehabilitation. But another wrong forecast could be disastrous.
As for the presidential figures, the average shows that Biden won by a fairly wide margin.
In state terms, the figures point to the following:
Finally, forecast data in key states is not encouraging at all for the current President Trump.